Skip to main content

IT Stocks Catch The “AI” Bug

“What doesn’t kill you, makes you stronger”

-          Friedrich Nietzsche, 19th Century German Philosopher

IT Stocks are being hammered on almost daily basis. “AI” seems to have given serious “infection” to IT companies and doomsday predictions for most of the organizations abound. NIFTY IT index as on 21 Feb 2026 is down nearly 16% in a month and 19.84% in year. On the contrary, broader Nifty 500 index is up 2.04% in a month and by 13.37% in a year. One following a broad market indexing strategy using Nifty 500 index fund has been spared the sectoral downturn reflected in IT stocks.

And that’s what diversification is all about.

That said, is it time to take a contrarian call and buy some IT stocks? Or rather than go for individual stocks, introduce IT index fund to your portfolio and build a diversified holding of IT companies? The latter approach looks better to me as it takes the guesswork out of which company handles the AI threat better. And as a bonus – do understand index is very brutal: if the existing constituents don’t do well in market capitalizations terms, new companies can very well enter the index and replace the underperformers in due course. The investor gets these holdings without any effort and tax cost.

Ohh, and you also realize that the bottom may not have been tested yet. But then, the contrary may also be true. Recovery maybe round the corner. Here is how I would go about balancing both the scenarios:

-          Budget a capital to be deployed into IT Index fund. Say 10 Lacs. I have put a random number here. More sophisticated approach is to decide upon capital as a percentage of your overall assets

-          25% of this to be immediately deployed into selected fund. This much will give one a reasonable shot at any immediate upside while shielding large part of capital from further downside

-          Build a plan to raise holding level to 100% of capital allocated within 6 months or maximum one year as I feel this much time period is good enough for all future expectations to be factored in by the markets

This is a simple formula investing plan to build exposure into a sector which is out of favour and has seen some market correction. Whether IT sector stocks go down further or rebound, you get to build focussed exposure in a sector without second guessing which way things will go.

 And before you decide to take the plunge, exercise due caution – sectoral or any other focussed approach is way more “risky” than broad market indexing. And there is no guarantee that such approach will assuredly do better than continuing with Nifty 500 broad market index!!!

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

War And Equity Investments

Uncertain times are upon us. There is a shadow of war post killing of tourists in Pahalgam. So far, equity markets have not shown any signs of cracking up despite of high expectations of armed conflict with our wayward neighbour. Is it the calm before the storm as far as equity markets are concerned? It is anybody’s guess that if a protracted war does happen, economy will take a hit in near term, which in turn will impact our daily lives, including equity markets. When and how this will happen is again anybody’s guess. Should you take a relook at your equity investments in such a scenario? Nothing wrong in being a little conservative in such times. Here’s what I think can be considered:     -           Scenario I: You have designated INR 100 for equity investments and are fully invested. While you do have money in non equity investments, in case of equity market downturn, YOU WILL NOT PULL MONEY OUT OF SUCH INVESTMENTS AND DEP...

Equity Investing – The Worst Case Scenario, 10 Year Horizon Basis

10 year CAGR for the period 1 April 2010 – 31 March 2020: 6.19%. Covid 19 made equity market tumble and we had to contend with a lowly equity market returns. We can safely say 10 years is long enough investment horizon. Investment return of this quantum will easily qualify as worst case scenario. And it was. If we consider only point to point figure. Here’s what unique to listed equity investing: it is NOT like buying property where you lock in “one” price at a point in time. Then why look at worst case (or even best or average case) on point to point basis? My opinion – to get an idea of real worst case scenario, looking at data on 3 year moving average basis makes better sense. Let’s see what numbers say. Point to point returns of 10 year period ending: -           31 March 2018:                          ...

Asset Inventory & Investment Success

You don’t know how well your money is doing until you have a clear picture where all your money is. That is where the role of periodically working out asset inventory comes into play. While it may appear to be a chore initially (and it is), if one perseveres, the results may be the best guide a very successful financial situation. The best part – you don’t need any fancy apps or other tools to go about it. Simple excel sheet or even a diary if you prefer writing can do the job near perfectly. I am deliberately not putting up any sample asset inventory format. That is left to each individual. The format you go by can be a simple one, with just the asset type & associated number against it. Or an advanced one where you also plug in realistic expected return. Maybe even a super advanced one (if I can say that), where you adjust the weighted average portfolio returns with expected inflation to get an idea how well your investments are keeping up with purchasing power capacity. Wh...